While working on the business model for iLogon, I noticed an interesting trend developing on the web. Is Web 2.0 a repeat of the dot com crash? Once again we started seeing ridiculous valuations on companies that generate little or no revenue. The difference this time? Users are King. If you have a lot of users, and more specifically, a lot of key information about the users, you may have been sitting on a gold mine. Look at the valuations for Facebook, Linkedin, and MySpace. While constantly watching the VC activity throughout ‘08 (preparing for my own funding campaign) I saw one “cool” or “sexy” Web 2.0 application after another get funded. The problem I saw was, cool and sexy is not a business model. Where was the revenue going to come from? Even Facebook, with their 120M users can’t sustain themselves on advertising alone. When you read between the lines, you realize pretty quickly that the plan is to go get a bunch of users and figure out how to monetize them later.
So this brings me to my earlier point. When I saw this developing over the last few years, it made me even more confident that the iLogon model was rock solid. While ‘08 was not necessarily the best time to get funded if you didn’t have the next “me too” social network or freemium web app, it was a great time to bootstrap iLogon. And a funny thing happened on the way to the iLogon beta launch. The economy tanked, the stock market took a crap, and VCs closed their wallets. This lead to increased pressure to generate revenue for startups AND established companies, which in turn forced these companies to scrap the free model in many cases. Google and Jott Networks are 2 examples that stand out for me, but there are many more coming.
http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/01/23/google-puts-the-squeeze-on-free-apps/
http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/01/13/no-more-free-jott-for-you/
So, how exactly does this help iLogon? For those not familiar with the iLogon solution, it’s a web application for aggregating and managing online subscriptions, more specifically, fee based subscriptions. We’re signing up partners who offered fee based services at a steady pace, and are in the process of becoming a Google reseller. The iLogon app let’s users build a “package” of subscriptions sites, and provides single sign-on, consolidated billing, reviews and recommendations, and perhaps the best feature – gives the user a discount on the subscription fees. The more sites out there that are fee based, the better for iLogon, especially if the industry continues to move in that direction.
The bottom line? The web appears to be trending towards fee based content and services over free, and iLogon is positioned well to take advantage of this trend. We launch our beta release by the end of January, and will be in full production by the end of Q1. Perfect timing?
http://www.ilogon.com/default.aspx